Sunday, November 9, 2008

Coincidence? I think not.

A lot has been made about DM's talk about the importance of on base percentage and how his offseason moves have ran counter to this belief (Jacobs trade, Olivo coming back). Here's what I know, there is a direct correlation between OBP and runs scored so to casually dismiss the most important offensive stat in baseball is borderline ridiculous. Look at the Royals the last nine years, their two best seasons came when they were in the top 8 in OBP - which not coincidently put them in the top 6 in runs scored. The rest of decade they have been 10th or worse in OBP and runs scored.
Year OBP (RK) Runs (RK) Record
2000 .348 (8) 879 (5) 77-85
2001 .318 (14) 729 (10) 65-97
2002 .323 (10) 737 (11) 62-100
2003 .336 (6) 836 (4) 83-79
2004 .322 (13) 720 (11) 58-104
2005 .320 (13) 701 (12) 56-106
2006 .332 (11) 757 (12) 62-100
2007 .322 (13) 706 (13) 69-93
2008 .320 (12) 691 (12) 75-87

Now offense wasn't the sole reason for those dreadful records as KC put out some truly horrible pitching staffs but right now pitching is their strength and a top 5 offense will put the Royals in the playoffs next season.  It's really not hard to figure out so playing guys who make outs over 70% of the time is not the way to move this franchise forward.

But thats just me, Moore apparently sees it differently.
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BP's Christina Karhl discusses the Jacobs acquisition with Eric Sanlnocencio on BDD Live. Karhl comes on at the 43 minute mark. Except for Jacobs being called a poor mans Bob Hamelin I agree with everything that was said. Hamelin was really an underrated player. Think about this; the Royals released him after a season in which he put up a .391 OBP (and no, Moore wasn't the GM).

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