Saturday, November 22, 2008

Crisp not part of the solution

Alot of Royals fans are jubilant because Moore traded for a speedy, young, cheap, centerfielder with good on-base skills. Except he really didn't, instead he acquired Coco Crisp. Now I know I'm going to be accused of unwarranted negativity because it seems like I bash every move DM makes but that's not whats going on here. I stayed silent a few days and really thought about this trade and here's what I decided - it's a lateral move and Crisp is neither an upgrade or a downgrade. As a complementary player on a good team he won't hurt you but on a team looking for offense a playmaker and sparkplug he is not. He does offer superb defense and is a stolen base threat (though his SB % is less than ideal) so this probably means Joey Gathright's days are numbered. Gathright had two things going for him, speed & defense, and he is not your protoypical fourth outfielder. That job barring a trade should belong to Mark Teahen.
Three things though irk me about this trade.

Number one, as usual, is that Crisp does not have the necessary on-base skills to bat leadoff. I've shown the direct relationship between OBP & runs with wins in KC's recent history so it continues to surprise me that DM goes after these types of players. Mike Jacobs will hit home runs and Coco Crisp will steal some bases but neither will get on enough to significantly help this team score more runs. Crisp has never had an OBP of .350 but the guy he is essentially replacing (Teahen) has done it two times in the last three years. Again you need base runners to score runs. It really is that simple.

Number two is his age. He is 29 and not likely to get any better than he is right now. If this were November 2005 and KC had acquired the 26 year old coming off a .300/.345/.465 campaign I would be ecstatic but that was three years ago and Crisp hasn't shown the ability to replicate that season, and most likely won't this year. His career stat line of .267/.319/.435 at Kauffman Stadium is also perplexing, mainly because it was done against some very poor KC pitching staffs.

Number three is his contract. 5.5 million this year and either 8 million or a $500,000 buyout next year. If KC buys out his contract then they basically gave the talented Ramon Ramirez away, he of the 127 career ERA+. Much like the possibility of Grudz coming back this is a terrible allocation of resources for a small market club.

Ultimately Crisp won't hurt the team and definitely isn't going to cause them to score fewer runs (if thats even possible) but if he and Jacobs are the only offensive moves that are made then I believe DM wasn't paying enough attention last season.

9 comments:

  1. Who else is out there though? I think Crisp makes the offense a little better and the pitchers a little better, and that's reason enough. Little by little . . .

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  2. I wouldn't mind Pie or Gutierrez rather than Crisp simply because of their upside. I guess I'm also not convinced that he will be better than Teahen next year and KC already has a decent CF (DDJ) so I don't believe it was the position of need that many thought it was.

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  3. If there's no one out there that is acquirable (both cost and availability playing roles), then why acquire anyone? I'd consider him most likely to replicate not much more than his K trio line that Jeff posted. And not only is the overall OBP not good enough for lead-off, look at his lead-off stats alone. .262/.312/.367 A lead-off hitter he's not.

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  4. Again with OBP? There are other stats that determine a players worth, such as defense and stolen bases AND home runs! If Crisp hits .300 and steals 50 bases and Jacobs hits 30 home runs I don't care what their OBP is. OBP which was thought to be under rated is now on the verge of being over rated.

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  5. How often a person gets on base will never be over rated.

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  6. And there are definite downfalls to HR and SB such as SB% and if all you do it hit HR, then you need to hit more than 32.

    Getting on base is the only way to score a lot of runs. The race to collect the most players with 700 outs is on.

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  7. Considering your stance on obp I'm surprised you don't bash on guilln that much, hes like jacobs without the power.

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  8. Jacobs is the new rotten flavor. You can find plenty of Guillen-bashing by me at Royalboard.com.

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  9. I think Guillen just had a bad year in 2008, while he will never be as good as he once was he will most certainly be better the last two years of his contract than he was the first.

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