Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Projections versus reality

On February 14th I posted my projections for the 2008 Royals. So now I'd thought it would be fun to see how they held up against actual numbers. Today I'll just look at the hitters.

Catchers:
John Buck
RSP -  .245/.305/.420 15, 50
Reality - .224/.304/.365 9 ,48
I didn't foresee the power drop. I'm not sure anyone did.

Miguel Olivo
RSP - .230/.285/.390 6, 30
Reality - .255/.278/.444 12, 41
He received more plate appearances than I thought he would but I didn't expect him to get on base much.

First Base:
Ryan Shealy
RSP - .275/.345/.460 17, 70
Reality - .301/.354/.603 7, 20
Shealy played just one month and just crushed the ball. What might have been.......

Ross Gload
RSP - .280/.335/.400 4, 35
Reality - .273/.317/.348 3, 37
He started 100 games at first base....with those numbers......meanwhile Shealy hits 22 hrs for Omaha.....and Gload starts 100 games.....with those numbers.

Second Base
Mark Grudzielanek
RSP - .285/.330/.385 4, 52
Reality - .299/.345/.399 3, 24
Grudz was having a solid season until an injury ended it early.

Alberto Callaspo
RSP -  .305/.365/.410 7, 45
Reality - .305/.361/.371 0,16
I nailed batting average and was close with his OBP but don't have a clue why I thought he would hit 7 home runs.

Esteban German
RSP - .295/.380/.420 3, 25
Reality - .245/.303/.338 0, 22
Sporadic playing time early in the year affected his production.

Shortstop
Tony Pena Jr
RSP - .255/.275/.350 5, 40
Reality - .169/.189/.209 1, 14
I didn't expect much and TPJ still managed to disappoint. 

No projection for Mike Aviles due to the fact I thought he was going to be Hubered.

Third Base
Alex Gordon
RSP - .310/.380/.520 25, 105
Reality - .261/.351/.432 16, 59
Disappointing season but I still think he is going to be a force.

Outfield
Mark Teahen
RSP - .300/.370/.450 15, 80
Reality - .255/.313/.402 15, 59
I thought Teahen would perform close to his 2006 self but sadly that year appears to be a fluke.

David DeJesus
RSP -  .280/.355/.420 8, 55
Reality - .307/.366/.452 13, 71
Career year for DDJ I didn't see coming.

Joey Gathright
RSP - .295/.360/.390 1, 25
Reality - .254/.311/.272 0, 22
If he can't get on base he has zero offensive value.

Jose Guillen
RSP - .280/.345./.470 24, 85
Reality - .264/.300/.438 20, 97
Some will say that with 42 doubles, 20 hrs, & 97 rbi's that he gave the Royals exactly what they needed. They would be wrong. 

DH
Billy Butler
RSP - .310/.390/.500 21, 100
Reality - .274/.324/.400 11, 55
Stronger in the second half but still not what anyone in KC expected. Doesn't seem to be in the teams future plans.

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