This year I decided to be a little more thorough and project the stats based on some of their baseball reference age based comps. While it's certainly flawed the end result resembles other projections and I'll put those (Bill James, CHONE, and ZIPs) up for comparisons sake. And because of the time consuming nature I will only be doing a few players and up first is Mike Jacobs. Jacobs was acquired in a controversial trade from the Marlins, controversial not because of the 32 home runs he hit last year but because of his .299 OBP. In fact had he even a league average OBP just about every Royals fan would have loved it (though then it probably would have taken more than the oft-injured Leo Nunez to get him).
I didn't like this trade at the time but I do now and am quite confident he will put up a good season. I understand that many fans wanted to see what Ryan Shealy could do with 500 at bats thinking he would probably hit 20-30 home runs, maybe he would and maybe he wouldn't - we really don't know. What we do know is that Jacobs has averaged 23 bombs a year the last three seasons and has a 162 game average of 31 home runs and 95 RBI's.
You have to go back to the year 2000 to find the last Royal to have hit 30 home runs in a season (Dye, 33). Will Jacobs be the next? Projections (mine included) say no but if he can hit in the mid-20's then I think fans will be pleased.
Well not a big difference as you can see, I project the least power but the the best on-base ability though .333 seems unlikely. Truth be told I'd probably be happy with any of those seasons (especially James) and I don't think it's unreasonable to expect a good year from Jacobs, despite his .299 OBP from 2008.