Friday, March 13, 2009

Ramirez and the upside of dreadful

Craig Brown gets it.
Ramirez became the first starter to go five innings yesterday in the Royals 9-3 win against the White Sox in Surprise. He allowed all three runs on six hits while walking one and striking out two. There's never any reason to put much stock into a spring training performance (or five) for a starting pitcher, but this line strikes me as very close to a best-case scenario for Ramirez if the Royals insist on placing him in the starting rotation.

Five innings and three runs are indeed a best case scenario and really gives off a Mark Redman/Odalis Perez vibe (and not in a good way, if in fact there is a good way). But I fear for every start like this we will suffer through two or three just really bad outings.

Since 1999 there have been fourteen starts where a left handed starter pitched five plus innings (but less than six) and given up three earned runs. The Royals record in those games is a robust 3-11. In the same time frame there have been 143 starts where a lefty has gone less than six innings and given up three-plus runs, this is most likely going to be the norm for Ramirez, and KC has gone 30-113. Now most teams will have a poor record in that situation but you would think that they wouldn't try to replicate it - but that's exactly what KC is doing with the HoRam experience. Which brings to mind one of the greatest quotes ever:

Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.

Unfortunately I remember all too well.

5 comments:

  1. Why does the Horacio saga SCREAM Brett Tomko ? All the way down to the little details like Kagel's he's improving he's improving.....

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  2. Because he's not good, just like Tomko. Because he's overpaid, just like Tomko. And because he has a spot in the rotation regardless of his spring performance, just like Tomko.

    I think HoRam is the one issue all Royals bloggers universally agree on.

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  3. I'm sick of Bannister always saying he pitched well after he gets lit up. Damn dude, you suck just admit it. You never hear any other pitchers saying how well they threw after getting torched, its old and annoying.

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  4. How many of the other Royals pitchers get left in to give up 10 runs.

    Maybe if he wasn't fighting that possiblility every game, he would be more confident.

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  5. How many of the other Royals pitchers get left in to give up 10 runs.

    Maybe if he wasn't fighting that possiblility every game, he would be more confident.

    ReplyDelete