Sunday, April 26, 2009

Still a Davies believer

I'm still on the bandwagon, despite his ERA being 6.88 his last three starts. Davies had his proverbial breakthrough season last year when he went 9-7 with a 4.06 ERA and 105 ERA+. Though this year he at 4.88 and 98 (small sample size alert) he has improved dramatically in other areas.

Year WHIP H/9 K/9
2008 1.45 9.6 5.7
2009 1.29 7.9 8.6

Simply put he is allowing less base runners and striking more people out. That usually translates into being an above average starter, which I believe Davies has become. I thought before the season started that he would put up an ERA between 4.00 and 4.50 but if he keeps his H/9 and K/9 where they're at now I think he could end with it below 4. I'll let other more stat inclined bloggers dig deeper into other areas not that I don't want to, ok that's exactly it, I don't want to.

2 comments:

Antonio. said...

Your years are off one. I was interested in his numbers from 2006. You can tell right away why he struggled and I'll probably take a deeper look into his numbers and maybe look into making your post a part one if I can find enough interesting things in there.

Jeff Parker said...

Fixed, thanks. I'm really not sure what else to look for but his H/9 and K/9 is enough to encourage me.