Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Projections

I like CHONE when it comes to projections so I thought it would be interesting to compare the 2009 projections of a few selected players with their actual performance and also see how they are projected to do this season. I don't know if you've spent anytime at baseballprojection.com but it is a fascinating site and well worth a look.

Billy ButlerHRRBISBBAOBPSLG
2009 CHONE14811.289.356.444
2009 Actual21931.301.362.492
2010 CHONE17831.307.372.478

Jason KendallHRRBISBBAOBPSLG
2009 CHONE3456.251.329.321
2009 Actual2437.241.331.305
2010 CHONE2415.245.315.306

Scott PodsednikHRRBISBBAOBPSLG
2009 CHONE22724.273.344.361
2009 Actual74830.304.353.412
2010 CHONE43420.275.336.368

Rick AnkielHRRBISBBAOBPSLG
2009 CHONE25853.253.319.475
2009 Actual11384.231.285.387
2010 CHONE17593.241.296.415

David DeJesusHRRBISBBAOBPSLG
2009 CHONE9588.279.354.406
2009 Actual13714.281.347.434
2010 CHONE11646.278.351.410
Stats provided by baseball-reference and baseballprojection

The Kendall 2009 projection was dang near spot on, the others not so much. For 2010 they all look about right except DDJ who I think will have a better year than his projection. Bottom line is this offense is going to struggle to score runs.

Later this week I'll so the same thing with a few pitchers.

2 comments:

keith said...

projections systems have underestimated DDJ every year. they got lucky in '07 when he had his down year. otherwise he always outperforms them. i expect nothing less this year.

Jeff Parker said...

I've noticed that, wonder why that is?