While we don't know yet what their start means for the rest of the season we can look at recent history and see how other teams finished after beginning the season 10-4. It has happened 13 times since 2005, and whether you believe this start is legitimate or is just a grand detour on the way to a historically bad season the results may interest you.
Only five of the 13 made the playoffs (38%) but all but one finished above .500 (92%).
| Year | Team | Finished | Postseason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | White Sox | 99-63 | World Series Champ |
| 2006 | Astros | 82-80 | |
| 2006 | Mets | 97-65 | Division Champ |
| 2006 | Red Sox | 86-76 | |
| 2007 | Mets | 88-74 | |
| 2007 | Braves | 84-78 | |
| 2007 | Dodgers | 82-80 | |
| 2008 | Diamondbacks | 82-80 | |
| 2008 | Cardinals | 86-76 | |
| 2009 | Blue Jays | 75-87 | |
| 2009 | Dodgers | 95-67 | Division Champ |
| 2010 | Rays | 96-66 | Division Champ |
| 2010 | Twins | 94-68 | Division Champ |
Because it really is a lot fun.
4 comments:
I actually wondered a similar thing yesterday and found the Royals have had stretches similar to 10-4 in every one of the past few seasons. So I don't think this start really means anything.
................................... 2010 record: 67-95
10-5 from 5/13 to 5/28
10-3 from 6/23 to 7/07
................................... 2009 record: 65-97
12-3 from 9/07 to 9/22
................................... 2008 record: 75-87
13-4 from 6/12 to 6/30
14-3 from 9/11 to 9/27
................................... 2007 record: 69-93
10-5 from 6/24 to 7/14
................................... 2006 record: 62-100
15-7 from 6/14 to 7/07
10-5 from 8/29 to 9/14
................................... 2005 record: 56-106
11-4 from 5/31 to 6/16
PS. I can't enjoy it. 2003's summer collapse still stings, so I won't let you enjoy it yet either LOL :-P
I think a good start matters. I had them at 72-90 before the year which is a .444 W%, if they win at that clip the remainder of the year they will finish 76-86, which isn't great but is just a few breaks away from .500.
Totally get your point though.
By June or whatever a team has already formed its identity and you pretty much know who they are. The reason why a stretch to start the season is different, you don't know who they are. This is not the same team from 2003 and what makes this year exciting is they won't need to trade for anybody because their help is in Omaha. Hos, Moose, Monty
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